Insights

U.S. Interest Rates Commentary and Research from Eric Hickman

This material is provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell futures/securities. The material is not intended to be used as a general guide to investing, or as a source of any specific investment recommendations, and makes no implied or express recommendations concerning the manner in which any client’s account should or would be handled, as appropriate investment strategies depend upon the client’s investment objectives.

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State of economic data

Many economic indicators exhibit similar behavior surrounding recessions across their history. Below are eight charts of important U.S. economic indicators with the longest history and most reliable cyclical behavior. The charts show an economic indicator’s behavior 2-years before and after past recessions indexed to its…